Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 10.925820 12.593613 14.376652 16.418677 18.686369 21.121189 23.926755
2025-06-22 8.769037 10.940621 13.405249 16.388973 19.881700 23.818911 28.569796
2025-06-29 7.420559 9.900190 12.858227 16.604507 21.176970 26.529512 33.218441
2025-07-06 6.417054 9.090083 12.422102 16.809531 22.357119 29.057815 37.674548
2025-07-13 5.753368 8.596458 12.280131 17.296313 23.831863 31.935161 42.604192
2025-07-20 5.155787 8.101148 12.057465 17.613522 25.051141 34.490551 47.179722
2025-07-27 4.550262 7.513912 11.637526 17.602642 25.795402 36.422786 50.986669
2025-08-03 3.839344 6.686448 10.798477 16.933328 25.584335 37.057764 53.088349
2025-08-10 3.355177 6.138388 10.297839 16.678565 25.889778 38.346713 56.047319
2025-08-17 2.909392 5.595601 9.750066 16.300875 25.976542 39.310311 58.565093
2025-08-24 2.568666 5.181873 9.356483 16.109894 26.297130 40.578835 61.505533
2025-08-31 2.233584 4.736323 8.870541 15.735501 26.313001 41.397816 63.822775
2025-09-07 2.029695 4.500382 8.704399 15.846287 27.054007 43.273617 67.683451
2025-09-14 1.810521 4.209209 8.419813 15.744161 27.456578 44.661526 70.877941
2025-09-21 1.662573 4.034561 8.316056 15.921257 28.284937 46.683754 75.021842
2025-09-28 1.530887 3.875331 8.223891 16.105836 29.123031 48.734526 79.248051
2025-10-05 1.451922 3.813672 8.298824 16.570301 30.415104 51.491650 84.565096
2025-10-12 1.357619 3.708021 8.283358 16.874228 31.453596 53.886296 89.394866
2025-10-19 1.232233 3.518629 8.095227 16.862598 31.970666 55.491019 93.076748
2025-10-26 1.047466 3.168636 7.569000 16.215511 31.403451 55.395509 94.188329
2025-11-02 0.926642 2.949173 7.277333 15.969240 31.487327 56.304107 96.827603
2025-11-09 0.807828 2.715471 6.934886 15.604400 31.346583 56.843318 98.900388
2025-11-16 0.718063 2.540813 6.697853 15.419946 31.502576 57.850338 101.707056